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我也來說說"房市":房產泡沫真的要來了嗎?

發布時間:2018-06-23 18:18 發布: admin 分類:職場勵志 瀏覽:

勵志人生http://www.hffp168.com):我也來說說"房市":房產泡沫真的要來了嗎?

文/金絲雀

 

前段時間,新聞報道說,上海的樓市竟然出現火爆搶房現象,然后又有新聞報道說,深圳的房價已經上到天了,紛紛說買不起房了,趁著火熱,又有新聞爆料說,李嘉誠又在拋樓了……

 

想儲買房的朋友心情就像現在的天氣,一會冷一會熱,然后突然又看到新聞說任大炮的微博博客賬戶被封了,這個天天鼓吹房地產大好利好,房價還會升趕緊買的“名嘴”終于可以消停一會了,不過這不能說明什么,總不能說國家關閉了個名人微博博客就表明國家的立場是要房價跌的,因為很簡單的,ZF也是要靠房產來維持GDP的增長創造營收的,總不能一下子塌了吧;

 

另一個角度,但是民意不可違啊,房價天天暴漲也不行啊,所以國家出了政策,叫樓市去庫存,因為相對于大多數人來說,樓價實在是太高了,想買房的人很多,但是你房價太高了呀,我們買不起啊,好,于是國家說,房地產降低首付費用,放寬限購政策,降低購買限制條件等等,于是很多本來買不起房的人突然就買得起了,狼看見了肉,能不撲上去嘛,于是樓市又火了,你不買,總有人買,明知道貴,但總有人明知道被宰也還是心甘情愿,不得不承認“剛需”這兩個字的分量實在太重了,重于泰山啊,二胎開放,孩子上學,這不是明擺著你不買房行嗎?

 

有人說,現在的房價快到頂了,北上廣深等地的房價加起來能買半個美國了,肯定會很快重蹈日本的老路,能這樣想只能說明你只是學會了安慰自己,并沒有看清房市的真正趨勢,日本跟我們中華能比嗎?日本那么小的一個國家,能有幾塊地出售?你別忘了我們的祖先早就說過了:中國地大物博。

 

中國泱泱大國,有很多的選擇,日本能有多少選擇?那么點地那么多人搶,不崩盤才怪呢,日本就跟深圳的情況是一樣的,假如深圳是一個獨立的國家,如果你現在說它的房市快要崩盤我一百個支持你,但是深圳不是獨立的呀,我就讓你房價不斷高漲,漲到大家都買不起了,但是深圳買不起,深圳周邊買得起吧,那我就選擇周邊來買,然后深圳買房的人就變少了,慢慢地深圳的樓市升不上去了,可是還是有人在深圳買啊,只不過是買的人變少了而已,買不起深圳的就去其他地方買羅,但是深圳的樓市不會崩盤啊,最多是稍微降一點點,比深圳周邊城市稍高一些,但絕不會比周邊城市低的。

 

其實道理很簡單,我們參照北京的樓市就能想明白了

 

北京的房價高吧,其他城市的房價都沒它高,你其他城市都沒漲到北京的價位,怎么會崩盤呢,況且北京還沒崩盤呢,北京的情況也是一樣的, 因為選擇性多,買不起三環的,我買四環的,買不起四環的,我買五環的……買不起北京的,我買天津的……北京那么大,中國那么大,還是有很多選擇的,況且現在交通這么發達了,很多地方都快開通高鐵了,以后可能會出現很多住在天津,去北京上班的,等到二三線城市的交通都發達了,北京的房價再慢慢降都無所謂,又怎么會崩盤這么可怕呢,所以說,不要天天被一些人嚇到了,更不要瞎擔心,但也不能太樂觀,你自己一定要有自己對樓市的觀點,房產泡沫破裂恐怕還遠著呢。

 

其實我想跟大家說,買房并不是一件很難的事,大家都說懼怕物價不斷漲,蔬菜水果紛紛提價,吃不起菜了,貨幣也不斷貶值,今天100塊錢可以花個幾天,可能下個月就只夠頓飯錢了,其實人民幣貶值也不全是件壞事,有一句話叫做花明天的錢過今天的生活,現在假設你已經給了首付,買了房開始給銀行還貸,還款期限是20年,10年后我們再看回來,那句話是不是可以這樣說:拿今天的錢還10年前的利息加本金!

 

咦!!是不是瞬間覺得輕松了很多,是不是突然間覺得物價漲人民幣貶值是多么好的一件事情啊,還的是10年前的利息和本金,10年前我每個月要還4000塊,十年前還得可真是壓力大啊,可是10年后突然發現,現在4000塊錢也不值什么錢了,還起來輕輕松松的,哪里有什么壓力。

 

我們又可以反過來這樣打比方,假設你10年前你買了一套房,每個月還1000多塊,在10年前,2008年,1000塊錢也算是不少了吧,可是10年后的現在呢,1000塊錢還起來有木有壓力?有木有?所以,我們不要被房價嚇到了,其實它就是個紙老虎,只是你還沒有看清楚它的真面目,它并沒有你想象的那么可怕,那么的遙不可及,最多最后就是還不起負債,銀行收回你的房,你還是沒有太多的損失啊,你還可以租房住,重新再買一套房,所以你只要有一份穩定的收入,等你存夠了首付,想買房的話就買吧,不要讓自己一輩子生活在漂泊之中,有了一套房子,就算是有了一個家,有了家,心靈就有了可棲息的港灣。

 

 

寫上面的這些分析,我并不是要鼓吹房產,也不是鼓吹大家去買房,我也不是什么托,我只是一個普通的大學畢業生而已,上面的這些只是我個人對現在樓市的一個普通的分析,這只是我的看法,給大家一個參考,大家也可以看看我說得對不對,因為本人的水平也很有限,難免出現考慮不周的地方,如有錯請大家指出來,我改正。

 

以前的我也從來不敢想買房這件事,一聽那些樓市報價我就避之不及,什么地方3萬塊錢一方,什么地方4萬塊錢一方……

 

一聽,覺得自己這點收入真像別人說的,連個廁所都買不起,哪里敢想,但是后來聽別人這么一分析,才知道為什么這么多人都搶著買房,原來買房也不是很難啊!自己突然就開始敢想了,怎么也要試一試,不過這里面你還真得經得住這種還債的壓力,有些人之所以不敢買房,無非就是覺得不想欠債,一欠債就渾身不自在

 

其實我也是后來才發現,那些大老板沒幾個不欠銀行的錢的,人家都是從銀行不斷的貸款出去做投資,做項目賺錢,可以說是一直負債

 

曾經看到過一個段子,說是一群老板在一起吃飯,一個老板說,我欠銀行1個億,另一個老板說,我欠銀行3個億,第三個老板說,我欠銀行10個億,然后大家都紛紛鼓起掌來哈哈大笑表示祝賀。

 

所以說,外人可能看不懂他們為什么笑,但是內行人都知道,有錢人是越欠得多債說明生意做得越大,發展得越好啊,如果有一天你沒辦法欠銀行的錢,反而要想想自己是哪里出了問題了。

 

然后你也就明白了,為什么人的錢存在銀行其實是在給富人去借的。這就是窮人和富人的區別,富人大多數敢于承擔風險,窮人往往只想安穩,所以如果你有點膽量,你一定不會太窮……

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